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Only 3% of traders drive prediction markets' accuracy, not the crowd, study finds

Researchers show market accuracy comes from a tiny group of informed traders, not broad participation.

C
CoinDesk
April 26, 2026·1 min read
Only 3% of traders drive prediction markets' accuracy, not the crowd, study finds

Image: CoinDesk

Researchers show market accuracy comes from a tiny group of informed traders, not broad participation.

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Only 3% of traders drive prediction markets' accuracy, not the crowd, study finds

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